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2024-12-13 03:58:00

2. On Wednesday, the market broke 3,400 points, and recently fell to 3,230 points, forming a double-top decline of 3,500 points, and then bottomed out at 3,230 points to form a double bottom, and walked out of the narrow range of 3,200 points and 3,500 points.The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.Then, the early morning index opened higher and went lower, and the late session accelerated, which means that the market divergence will affect tomorrow's market. Can be known from two pieces of information.


Today's market is too dramatic, indicating that it is normal for the stock market to open higher and fall back. More investors are divided on the further rise of the market.This round of market, if it belongs to the trend of one-day tour, will make up the gap at most tomorrow, and the market can stabilize at 3400 points in the near future, and will still hit 3500 points in the later period.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.


My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.Judging from the current trend, I predict that the market is likely to evolve in the first trend. If the gap is not covered, it is better, indicating that the strong market rally can further open up the upside, cover the gap, and pay attention to support at 3400 points.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:

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